George Conway’s 3 tips to liberals on how to beat trump (video)

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‘1. Keep reminding the public that “he is now a convicted felon, he is an adjudicated rapist, [and] he attempted to overthrow the Constitution of the United States,” said Conway, a co-founder of the Lincoln Project. “And he’s just down right nuts,” he added. And now that donald trump, whose latest trial just ended, is on the loose during the thick of his election run, we will be seeing more and more of his nuttiness, which Conway says is a good thing. People need to see it. And speaking of his mental condition [cut to his next piece of advice]…

2. “You’ve got to actually say it. We have not had a full national conversation about this man’s psychological condition. … He’s literally nuts. … He’s a narcissistic sociopath. He has narcissistic personality disorder, and…that needs to be talked about openly. It needs to be pointed out when he is doing things that meet those criteria,” Conway said. Why? Because “it drives him nuts when people do that,” and this creates a vicious cycle where trump acts nuts, the media points it out, and that triggers the MAGA maniac to act even nuttier. And so on and so forth.

3. “The other thing I would recommend to liberals is don’t get mad,” he said. “The people who support trump like it when liberals get mad. That’s why they like trump.” Instead, Conway advises the media to repeatedly “make fun of him. You can make fun of him and mock him … laugh at him. Now, that doesn’t mean you don’t appreciate the seriousness of what would happen to this country.”

And what might that be, you ask? “We are going to have civil disorder like you’ve never seen” if trump wins.

And if Biden wins, Conway says, there are still going to be around 60–80 million people who voted for trump, and “we still have to live with those people and we’re going to have to deprogram them at some point.”…’ (Boing Boing)

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Florida bans rainbow-lit bridges as Pride Month approaches

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‘Florida governor Ron DeSantis, seeking to prevent public expressions of the LGBTQ+ Pride flag colors, has mandated only red, white and blue lights on the state’s bridges. Such decisions were previously left to local governments, but they kept putting up the devil’s rainbows during Pride Month….’ (Boing Boing)

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Can the profoundly corrupt Supreme Court be fixed?

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‘Rep. Jamie Raskin is one of my favorite people in public life. He’s smart, brave and profoundly decent and honorable. He’s dedicated to the rule of law and democracy itself. How dedicated? He buried his 25-year-old son on January 5, 2021. The next day he came to work to certify the election results.

I’m too old and cynical to have heroes but if I did have one, he’d be it.

Raskin, a former constitutional law professor, was interviewed by Dahlia Lithwick, reprinted in Slate Magazine — this is essential reading for anyone looking to understand the dangers the Supreme Court poses to democracy and some potential fixes that might save the us from the Court and the Court from itself.

First, he lays out the problems:

“[The Supreme Court is] the only federal court in the land that does not have a binding ethics code. And it shows.

If you don’t have an ethics code, you get people flying on junkets with their billionaire buddies all over the world and taking, you know, huge cash payments for a motor coach, a house, private school tuition. Why not? You only make, what? $325,000 a year.”

Disgusting. Truly outrageous. Makes my blood boil. How is this allowed to happen?

“I never thought I would live to see the day where justices have their own billionaire sugar daddies who give them houses and automobiles and private school tuitions. My friend Dar Williams sings a song where she says: “It’s a long road from law to justice.”

…to my mind, we’ve gotta organize the people in America. That’s where the power comes from. And we will, if and when we win back the House and the Senate and the White House. We will look at the Supreme Court and figure out what can be done about that extremely corrupted and contaminated body.”

Okay, so what solutions is he proposing?

“The Constitution does not fix the numerical composition of the Supreme Court, and it has changed nine or 10 different times over the course of our history. We have 13 federal circuits. We’ve got nine justices. Five of those justices are from New York. We’ve got one for each borough. We have entire federal circuits that don’t have a single justice. How about we start to talk about having 13 justices on the Supreme Court, one from each circuit, 18-year terms—they still get life tenure because they can go and be on the district bench or the circuit bench. Each president gets two appointments to the court. Obviously, the Senate still has to advise and consent, but it will remove some of the toxicity and the poison from the nominations if we know that each president will get two. We can deal with this problem, but the current Supreme Court is just a scandal.”

I’m not sure how possible any of these options are in the real world, but we should be adopting all of them immediately or else the six radicals on the Court are going to set this country back decades if not centuries….’ (Boing Boing)

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Trump Wishes His Trial Were Rigged

‘There is a simple, foolproof way to predict when Trump will describe something or someone as rigged or corrupt: when he doesn’t get what he wants. Elections he loses are fraudulent, legal decisions that go against him are rigged, and anyone who opposes him is corrupt. In every single instance, Trump is decrying not a corrupt individual or rigged process, but a person or process that is not corrupt or rigged enough to give him the results he seeks….’ ( Adam Serwer via The Atlantic )

trump’s Bizarre Moments With Dr. Phil and Hannity Should Alarm Us All

‘Earth to media: The criminal prosecutions of trump are legitimate. The “revenge” he’s promising would be wholly illegitimate. Time to make that a whole lot clearer…

During just this week, two of donald trump’s friendliest interviewers handed him big prime-time opportunities to unequivocally renounce any intention to retaliate against Democrats for his criminal conviction by a jury of his peers in Manhattan. Both times, trump demurred….’ (The New Republic)

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trump Allegedly Suggested He Would Have Bombed Beijing and Moscow

‘Former US President and presumptive Republican presidential nominee donald trump reportedly suggested he would have bombed Beijing and Moscow if they invaded Taiwan and Ukraine under his presidency.

According to the Washington Post, trump made the comment during an unspecified leg of his nationwide fundraising tour, a statement which reportedly shocked some of his donors….’ (Kyiv P ost)

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Orcas are still smashing up boats – and we’ve finally worked out why

‘Following years of research, a team of biologists, government officials and marine industry representatives have released their findings on just why one particular Orcinus orca group has developed this destructive streak. And it turns out, orcas – especially the kids and teens – just want to have fun. The report reveals that a combination of free time, curiosity and natural playfulness has led to young orcas adopting this ‘trend’ of boat-bumping, which is not at all surprising for a species that has been known to adopt odd, isolated behaviors from time to time….’ (New Atlas)

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Libertarians jeer trump during convention speech

‘He’s more delusional than I thought’:

‘If donald trump came to the Libertarian National Convention to make peace on Saturday, it could hardly have gone worse.

Within minutes of beginning speaking — and after enduring sustained jeering and boos — the former president turned on the third party, mocking its poor electoral record in presidential elections even as he appealed to them for their endorsement.

“What’s the purpose of the Libertarian Party of getting 3 percent?” trump asked the crowd, which proceeded to pelt him with jeers. “You should nominate trump for president only if you want to win.”
The libertarians in attendance didn’t want to hear it, as hecklers chucked insults at trump all night. “Liar,” they called him. “Panderer,” they shouted. “You crushed our rights,” they belted….’ (POLITICO)

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Gen Z kids are flocking to North Dakota in droves: Report

Home sale sign front new 82434058.jpg.The New York Post reflects on the changing influences on where we locate ourselves geographically, using one year’s net gain or loss in numbers of Gen Z’ers. Apparently North Dakota is becoming very popular.  Certainly, factors like rural charm and affordability play a role, but apparently so does how boring it is. 

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“Just Live”

I found this essay by Irish philosopher and literary critic Galen Strawson  (DRB) grappling with ways to define the meaning of life, to be provocative. Whether you agree with his conclusions or not, the central theme exploring what relationship there may be between meaning or purpose and “narrativity,” the sense that one can make a coherent story out of one’s life, intrigues me. As a psychiatrist, I find that the endeavor of psychotherapy very often — almost invariably — involves helping our patients make a coherent narrative of their experiences as a means of bearing or alleviating suffering. (see, for example, the work of psychoanalyst Donald Spence.) Recent understanding in neuroscience (e.g. this), coming at it from a different angle, provides some support for narrative and autobiographical memory as a basis for self-understanding and sense of identity. Whether such a story is ‘true’ depends on deeply nuanced and challenging questions about what such ‘truth’ is. Not at all self-evident or easy to establish. You will very often find these issues couched in terms of provocative discussions about a related issue, whether we have free will or agency. Much of psychotherapy has an explicit or implicit goal of expanding choice, autonomy, and responsibility. I think one must constantly struggle with whether those notions are well-founded. 

R.I.P. ‘Spider’ John Koerner

 

Bluesman Who Inspired a Young Bob Dylan Dies at 85

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‘“People have told me I influenced Dylan,” he told Billboard in 2016. “I wouldn’t put it that way. What’s the quote? ‘A great artist doesn’t copy … they steal.’ You take something and make it your own and it’s fair enough.”…’ (The New York Times obituary)

 

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Former FBI Director Comey is Not Worried About a Violent Response if (When) trump is Convicted

‘“Do you think if the former president is found guilty, do you worry about what the response of that might be?” Cooper asked.

“No, I think it’s … I continue to worry about threats against individual poll workers and council people, I’m not worried about an uprising of violence on donald trump’s behalf. I don’t think you’ve seen the crowds anywhere he’s gone,” Comey said. “I think a message was sent after Jan. 6 that your life will be ruined if you engage in that kind of behavior, and his crowd are not jihadis looking to die for the orange god. They are people who are attached to him as a cult leader in a way and entertainment figure, but they’re not going to lay themselves down for him.”…’ (The Wrap)

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trump’s Biden Mar-a-Lago Assassination Fantasy Gets Wilder

 

‘Former President donald trump was up all night ranting on Truth Social — including a new version of his wild assassination fantasy that featured President Joe Biden’s FBI gunning for trump’s Secret Service detail.

Right-wing hysteria has reached a fever pitch over a false claim that the FBI raid on trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort was actually an assassination attempt.

The basis for the claim is standard language in the raid’s operation order that said agents “may use deadly force only when necessary, that is, when the officer has a reasonable belief that the subject of such force poses an imminent danger of death or serious physical injury to the officer or to another person.”

Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) claims she was the one who told trump about the non-existent danger trump faced when the FBI raided Mar-a-Lago while he wasn’t there, and which trump is now fundraising on. But the scenario has captured imaginations across the MAGAsphere — including trump’s….’ (MediaIte)

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Bob Gates and John Bolton warn Americans about trump’s global policies

 

‘Four-times-indicted former president donald trump’s terrifying plans to assume dictatorial powers (and try for a third term), deploy the military against civil protesters, create a massive police state to carry out mass deportations and use federal power to exact revenge on his opponents should be enough to convince voters that his election would be a disaster for the United States domestically. However, returning him to the position of commander in chief and “leader of the free world” is just as scary on a global front. Don’t take it from me; just listen to two former senior Republican national security experts.

Former national security adviser John Bolton recently told Jordan Klepper of “The Daily Show” that his former boss “doesn’t understand alliances.” Bolton opined that Ronald Reagan would be “appalled” by the MAGA Republican Party, and added that trump has a “fascination with authoritarian leaders.” Bolton also concurred with former secretary of state Rex Tillerson’s description of trump as a “f—ing moron,” though Bolton refrained from using the expletive. (Klepper taunted Bolton for, after all that, saying he would vote for neither President Biden or trump. “Great. So, in the race between a current president and a former president, it looks like the winner will be the Russian president.”)

Bolton has previously said of trump: “He’s fundamentally ignorant, and he really doesn’t care about the facts. He thinks international relations are about personal relations, which is a line and approach that I can tell you, Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping are eagerly looking forward to.” trump’s ignorance and overweening narcissism make him easy pickings for manipulative dictators. (trump came to regard North Korea’s Kim Jong Un as a friend because he sent “love letters.” He turned over foreign signals intelligence to Russians in the Oval Office.) He is, in other words, a patsy for strongmen whose object is to weaken the United States.

trump declared that he would invite Putin to invade NATO countries that didn’t contribute sufficiently to the alliance’s collective defense. (He continues to misunderstand how NATO forces are funded.) His well-known hostility toward European allies and threats to ditch NATO should indicate to any voter concerned about national security that trump’s return to office would spell disaster for international peace and stability….’ (The Washington Post

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Eastern Oregon residents pass ‘Greater Idaho’ measure

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‘Conservative residents in eastern Oregon have been ready to part ways with their liberal neighbors to the west, looking to secede from the state and join Idaho.

Conflicting views on crime and social policies have created a large divide between the bigger cities and rural areas, sparking efforts to secede.

Americans still say real estate is the best long-term investment
If the counties are successful in seceding, Oregon’s border would shift 200 miles west, according to the measure….’ (NewsNation)

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Dopamine explained: “detoxing”, “hacking”, and “fasting”… is any of it real?

‘Dopamine, a chemical messenger in the brain, used to be neuroscience jargon — something you’d read about in a biology textbook. But today, dopamine has become a cultural catch-all, shorthand for focus, yearning, and joy.

Scroll through TikTok or sit next to a Silicon Valley software engineer at a dinner party, and you’ll be bombarded with dopamine-related life hacks. Struggling to stay off your phone? Maybe you’re due for a dopamine detox. Concerned that you’re not enjoying life like you used to? Try dopamine fasting or, for a quick pick-me-up, get dopamine dressed.

Wanting to hack your brain isn’t some niche thing. Celebrity neuroscientist and podcaster Andrew Huberman’s 2021 “Dopamine Masterclass” episode, “Controlling Your Dopamine For Motivation, Focus & Satisfaction,” has racked up over 9 million views on YouTube — a staggering number for a 136-minute neuroscience explainer. This video and others like it offer techniques for controlling dopamine release. Some are behavioral, like quitting sugar or abstaining from pornography. Others involve buying supplements, phone apps, or life coaching.

But in reality, dopamine does both more and less than pop culture gives it credit for. While dopamine-driven wellness trends often hinge on its role as “the pleasure molecule,” most neuroscientists today agree that dopamine doesn’t represent pleasure at all — at least not directly. Its role in the brain is wide-reaching and nuanced, shaping everything from motivation to nausea. Outside of the brain, it helps to widen blood vessels, lower white blood cell activity, and more….’ (Vox)

Google Search Without the AI

‘Forget AI. Google just created a version of its search engine free of all the extra junk it has added over the past decade-plus. All you have to do is add “udm= 14” to the search URL….’ ( via Tedium )

Do LLMs display theory of mind behavior indistinguishable from human mentalization?

 

‘At the core of what defines us as humans is the concept of theory of mind: the ability to track other people’s mental states. The recent development of large language models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT has led to intense debate about the possibility that these models exhibit behaviour that is indistinguishable from human behaviour in theory of mind tasks. Here we compare human and LLM performance on a comprehensive battery of measurements that aim to measure different theory of mind abilities, from understanding false beliefs to interpreting indirect requests and recognizing irony and faux pas. We tested two families of LLMs (GPT and LLaMA2) repeatedly against these measures and compared their performance with those from a sample of 1,907 human participants. Across the battery of theory of mind tests, we found that GPT-4 models performed at, or even sometimes above, human levels at identifying indirect requests, false beliefs and misdirection, but struggled with detecting faux pas. Faux pas, however, was the only test where LLaMA2 outperformed humans. Follow-up manipulations of the belief likelihood revealed that the superiority of LLaMA2 was illusory, possibly reflecting a bias towards attributing ignorance. By contrast, the poor performance of GPT originated from a hyperconservative approach towards committing to conclusions rather than from a genuine failure of inference. These findings not only demonstrate that LLMs exhibit behaviour that is consistent with the outputs of mentalistic inference in humans but also highlight the importance of systematic testing to ensure a non-superficial comparison between human and artificial intelligences….’ (Nature Human Behaviour

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We just translated chimpanzee language. They’re talking about snakes.

Chimpanzees communication.

‘A study was published in Nature examining communication among chimpanzees. It found that chimps use “words,” and can combine the words into “syntactic-like structures,” the beginnings of phrases / sentences.

“Chimpanzees produce ‘alarm-huus’ when surprised and ‘waa-barks’ when potentially recruiting conspecifics during aggression or hunting. Anecdotal data suggested chimpanzees combine these calls specifically when encountering snakes. Using snake presentations, we confirm call combinations are produced when individuals encounter snakes and find that more individuals join the caller after hearing the combination.

So chimps have a “word” for surprise/danger and a “word” for come quickly, and when they combine them when seeing a snake, they are forming a proto-sentence with the approximate meaning of “Holy crap, get over here!”…’

— via Boing Boing

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Who Will Be the Village Voice of the 21st Century?

Review of The Freaks Came Out to Write: The Definitive History of the Village Voice, the Radical Paper That Changed American Culture by Tricia Romano (PublicAffairs, 2024)

‘The Village Voice was the “loud, open mouth” of New York. Could its equivalent exist today?…’ (Jacobin)

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Study Confirms Einstein Prediction: Black Holes Have a ‘Plunging Region’

‘”Albert Einstein was right,” reports CNN. “There is an area at the edge of black holes where matter can no longer stay in orbit and instead falls in, as predicted by his theory of gravity.”

The proof came by combining NASA’s earth-orbiting NuSTAR telescope with the NICER telescope on the International Space Station to detect X-rays:
A team of astronomers has for the first time observed this area — called the “plunging region” — in a black hole about 10,000 light-years from Earth. “We’ve been ignoring this region, because we didn’t have the data,” said research scientist Andrew Mummery, lead author of the study published Thursday in the journal Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. “But now that we do, we couldn’t explain it any other way.”

Mummery — also a Fellow in Oxford’s physics department — told CNN, “We went out searching for this one specifically — that was always the plan. We’ve argued about whether we’d ever be able to find it for a really long time. People said it would be impossible, so confirming it’s there is really exciting.”

Mummery described the plunging region as “like the edge of a waterfall.”
Unlike the event horizon, which is closer to the center of the black hole and doesn’t let anything escape, including light and radiation, in the “plunging region” light can still escape, but matter is doomed by the powerful gravitational pull, Mummery explained. The study’s findings could help astronomers better understand the formation and evolution of black holes. “We can really learn about them by studying this region, because it’s right at the edge, so it gives us the most information,” Mummery said…

According to Christopher Reynolds, a professor of astronomy at the University of Maryland, College Park, finding actual evidence for the “plunging region” is an important step that will let scientists significantly refine models for how matter behaves around a black hole. “For example, it can be used to measure the rotation rate of the black hole,” said Reynolds, who was not involved in the study….’ (Slashdot)

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What is the Kremlin planning in Moldova?

‘Ahead of two crucial polls, Kremlin ‘using all available means of leverage and interference to impose its will – short of bombing the country’.

Since the Ukraine invasion, concern has grown that Vladimir Putin would turn his attention to neighbouring Moldova in a bid to regain control of another former Soviet republic.

Although Moldova does not share a border with Russia, its separatist region of Transnistria has become the rallying cry used by Moscow to undermine the tiny country. In February, pro-Russian separatist leaders issued an appeal to Putin for “protection” that “echoed similar ‘appeals’ from inside Ukraine which set in motion the illegal Russian annexations of its territories”, said Chatham House experts…’ ( Elliott Goat, The Week UK via The Week )

Why we’re turning psychiatric labels into identities

‘So you’re on the spectrum, or you’ve got borderline personality disorder, or you’re a sociopath: once you’re sure that’s who you are, you’ve got a personal stake in a very creaky diagnostic system.

The process by which categories give rise to kinds of people is what the philosopher Ian Hacking called “dynamic nominalism.” There’s an interactive relation between the labels and those labelled….’ ( via The New Yorker )

Self-immolation near Trump trial followed long, disturbing tradition

But why?

‘Ten years before I was born, at 4:40 on the morning of Nov. 10, 1971, my mother and another woman sat “yogi-style” on the floor of an Ann Arbor, Mich., kitchen and lit themselves on fire. They were just blocks from the University of Michigan campus, where my mother had been a student. She had just turned 20. Police tracked the smell of burning hair to find the women sitting on the floor, facing each other, screaming….’ ( By Nina St. Pierre

April 28, 2024 3 AM PT via Los Angeles Times )

Is it healthier to sleep on your left side or your right side?

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‘If you’re tossing and turning at night due to heartburn, sleep apnea, or other health issues, your sleeping position could be the culprit – or the solution.

According to Lifehacker, for heartburn sufferers, “lying on your left side means that food and digestive juices have an easier time staying inside the stomach where they’re supposed to be. If you have GERD or you get heartburn easily, sleeping on your right side can make it more likely for stomach acid to end up in the esophagus, making your heartburn worse.” So the left side may reduce nightly acid reflux.

However, the right side could benefit heart function and breathing. When you “sleep on your right side, the mediastinum keeps the heart in place. But when you lie on your left side, your heart sags and rotates slightly. For this reason, it’s thought that the heart beats more efficiently when you’re lying on your right side than on your left. This in turn may help you breathe more easily if you have sleep apnea.”…’ (Boing Boing)

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Why Feathers Are One of Evolution’s Cleverest Inventions

‘In October 2022 a bird with the code name B6 set a new world record that few people outside the field of ornithology noticed. Over the course of 11 days, B6, a young Bar-tailed Godwit, flew from its hatching ground in Alaska to its wintering ground in Tasmania, covering 8,425 miles without taking a single break. For comparison, there is only one commercial aircraft that can fly that far nonstop, a Boeing 777 with a 213-foot wingspan and one of the most powerful jet engines in the world. During its journey, B6—an animal that could perch comfortably on your shoulder—did not land, did not eat, did not drink and did not stop flapping, sustaining an average ground speed of 30 miles per hour 24 hours a day as it winged its way to the other end of the world….’ ( Michael B. Habib via Scientific American )

Jury Selection Jokes Leave trump Humiliated

 

‘He’ll almost certainly never truly be punished by the legal system for his myriad crimes so we have to take our small victories where we can get them….’ (Boing Boing)

 

Related:

The Joy of Making trump Listen to Mean Tweets About Himself

 

The vicious, thin-skinned ex-president was forced to endure readings of social media posts by prospective jurors that mercilessly mocked him. It was great. (Daily Beast)

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R.I.P. Daniel C. Dennett, 82

 

Widely Read and Fiercely Debated Philosopher

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‘Espousing his ideas in best sellers, he insisted that religion was an illusion, free will was a fantasy and evolution could only be explained by natural selection….’ (The New York Times)

 

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‘Danger to our democracy’: fears over trump allies’ summit with far-right sheriffs

‘Mike Flynn, Mike Lindell and others to attend event on election fraud by Constitutional Sheriffs and Peace Officers Association

A group of far-right sheriffs is set to meet donald trump allies in Las Vegas on Wednesday for talks with dozens of Republican state officials and candidates focused partly on potential election fraud by non-citizens, which experts say is wildly overblown….’ ( Peter Stone via The Guardian )

The federal judges speaking out against trump

‘trump envisions a presidency in which he would quite literally be above the law, immune from accountability, and free to wreak vengeance on his opponents. The trump 2.0 strategy depends on the former president and his associates bending the institutions of government—including the military and the Department of Justice—to his will. Congress, especially one controlled by the GOP, is unlikely to be either a check or a balance if the other institutions fail.

Which leaves the courts.

The pointed rhetoric from these judges is an important indicator: The federal judiciary is the one institution left standing that viscerally understands, and is willing to actively resist, the threat the former president poses….’ ( Charles Sykes via The Atlantic )

trump’s bizarre, vindictive incoherence has to be heard in full to be believed

‘trump’s tone, as many have noted, is decidedly more vengeful this time around, as he seeks to reclaim the White House after a bruising loss that he insists was a steal. This alone is a cause for concern, foreshadowing what the Trump presidency redux could look like. But he’s also, quite frequently, rambling and incoherent, running off on tangents that would grab headlines for their oddness should any other candidate say them.

Journalists rightly chose not to broadcast trump’s entire speeches after 2016, believing that the free coverage helped boost the former president and spread lies unchecked. But now there’s the possibility that stories about his speeches often make his ideas appear more cogent than they are – making the case that, this time around, people should hear the full speeches to understand how trump would govern again….’ ( Rachel Leingang via The Guardian )

Is stability a determinant of rock bands success?

Turns out, it seems not:

‘I make use of the characteristics of more than 6000 rock bands to empirically analyze if and how the stability of their members helps them to get a higher level of success. Bands cover all genres of Rock music (from Country to Punk), and their performance is assessed by having a song ranked in Billboard 100. Analyzing how the turn-over of members of a band affects their performance, it appears that the total number of musicians that left the band (compared to the actual number of musicians) – used as an indicator of instability –positively impacts the probability of a success. This may reveal that more talented musicians tend to be recruited after the departure of founding members, or that new members bring fresh ideas. The latter interpretation is supported by another result, showing that solo artists have a higher probability of success than bands. Finally, I also show that bands that come back to the stage after a split do not perform better.

…’ ( via Journal of Cultural Economics )

donald trump is a national-security risk

‘Since 1952, the White House has allowed major-party candidates access to classified intelligence briefings so that they will be current on important issues if they win the election. trump should be denied this courtesy.

…The decision rests, as always, with the sitting president, and Joe Biden is likely to continue this practice so that he will not be accused of “politicizing” access to intelligence. Such accusations need not be taken seriously; they would only be more meaningless noise from a GOP that has already stumbled in a clumsy attempt to impeach Biden after leveling charges of corruption at both him and his son. And although denying trump access to classified briefs would produce squawks and yowls from Republicans, it would also serve as a reminder that trump cannot be trusted with classified information.

The risks of denying trump these early briefings are negligible. As we learned from his presidency, trump is fundamentally unbriefable: He doesn’t listen, and he doesn’t understand complicated national-security matters anyway. The problem with giving trump these briefings, however, isn’t that he’s ignorant. He’s also dangerous, as his record shows.

Indeed, if trump were ga federal employee, he’d have likely already been stripped of his clearances and escorted from the building…’ ( Tom Nichols via The Atlantic )

‘Gut Health’ Has a Fatal Flaw

‘Social-media testimonials claim that improving your “gut health” not only helps with stomach issues such as bloating and pain but also leads to benefits beyond the gastrointestinal system (easing problems including, but not limited to, itching, puffy face, slow-growing hair, low energy, acne, weight gain, and anxiety). You can now find a staggering range of products claiming to support digestive health: Joining traditionally gut-friendly fermented foods such as yogurt and sauerkraut are “probiotic” or “prebiotic” teas, cookies, gummies, supplements, powders, and even sodas…

Maintaining the health of the gastrointestinal tract, like the health of any body part, is always a good idea. But expecting certain foods and products to overhaul gut health is unrealistic, as is believing that they will guarantee greater overall well-being…’ (The Atlantic)

There is no clear definition of a healthy gut microbiome, and surely what balances the gut will differ from person to person. To sell a product because it promotes ‘gut health’ is to sell snake oil. “A lot of probiotics are unlikely to contain viable bacteria, and probably very few of them are really making it through to the colon,” Columbia gastroenterologist Daniel Freedberg said. Never mind the claimed causal relationship between gut health and overall health or mental health.

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Want to understand OpenAI’s Sora? Take a look at Midjourney and DALL-E

‘Last week, OpenAI released Sora, a generative AI model that produces videos based on a simple prompt. It’s not available to the public yet, but CEO Sam Altman showed off its capabilities by taking requests on X, formerly known as Twitter. Users replied with short prompts: “a monkey playing chess in a park,” or “a bicycle race on ocean with different animals as athletes.” It’s uncanny, mesmerizing, weird, beautiful — and prompting the usual cycle of commentary.

Some people are making strong claims about Sora’s negative effects, expecting a “wave of disinformation” — but while I (and experts) think future powerful AI systems pose really serious risks, claims that a specific model will bring the disinformation wave upon us have not held up so far.

Others are pointing at Sora’s many flaws as representing fundamental limitations of the technology — which was a mistake when people did it with image generator models and which, I suspect, will be a mistake again. As my colleague A.W. Ohlheiser pointed out, “just as DALL-E and ChatGPT improved over time, so could Sora.”…’ (Vox)

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The 2024 Santa Monica Film Festival was chock full of red-pilled conspiracy content

‘The 18th annual Santa Monica Film Festival, which held in-person screenings on Saturday, February 3 and which is running online screenings through February 28, chose to feature and then give awards to some dangerous right-wing conspiracy theories masquerading as “documentary” films.

The festival awarded “Best Documentary Feature” to The Great Awakening, the third film in anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist Mikki Willis’ Plandemic series….

The films in the Plandemic series continue to be circulated online, and have been seen millions of times. They have also been thoroughly debunked

Next, the film We Will Not Be Silenced won the film festival’s award for “Best International Documentary.” The film festival’s Instagram describes the film, which was directed by Brian Rose and Luis Solarat…

Rose continues to platform reptilian conspiracy theorist David Icke and spread antisemitic conspiracy theories and disinformation about COVID-19 and vaccines….

Finally, “Shot Dead” is another “documentary” that was screened at the film festival, although it didn’t win anything. This film, a “We the Patriots USA Original Production” features parents who believe their children were killed by COVID-19 vaccines…

Can someone please go check on the Santa Monica Film Festival and make sure they’re alright? Because these films that they’ve platformed are so full of dangerous disinformation and conspiracy theorizing, it’s a stretch—at best—to call them documentaries. It seems clear that the Santa Monica Film Festival is fully red-pilled now. I sure hope other film festivals don’t follow suit.

For more analysis of the film festival, check out Conspirituality Podcast’s episode, “Plandemic Takes the Promenade.”‘ (Boing Boing)

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trump goes full racist at Black Conservatives event

‘Speaking to the Black Conservatives Federation, adjudicated rapist donald J. trump gave an off-the-rails demonstration of his racism.

So many times, donald trump says things that would end any other politician’s career for good. Here, the Orange Menace claims Black people like him because he is a criminal. …trump spends this speech just saying all the Republican “quiet parts” out loud. This is crazy offensive and, once again, should invalidate him from holding any office….’ (Boing Boing)

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trump gave a speech to the National Religious Broadcasters that’d end any other politician’s career.

‘In this speech,  tired and struggling real estate fraud donald trump, is speaking to evangelicals and can not pronounce the word evangelical the same way twice. He made up polling numbers, told stories about baby murder, and elevated his January 6th insurrectionist mob to spirited patriots. Promises to close the Department of Education also went over big to folks who love banning books….’ (Boing Boing)

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Most luminous object ever detected has been spied in the distant Universe

‘…It’s a quasar – the bright core of a galaxy that is powered by a gargantuan black hole some 17 billion times the mass of our Sun. Known as J0529-4351, the object’s power was confirmed in observations by the Very Large Telescope in Chile.

Scientists, reporting in the journal Nature Astronomy, say the black hole has a voracious appetite, consuming the mass equivalent to one Sun every day.

J0529-4351 was actually recorded in data many years ago but its true glory has only just been recognised.

“We have discovered an object which has previously not been recognised for what it is; it’s been staring into our eyes for many years because it’s been glowing at its brightness for longer than humankind has probably existed. But we’ve now recognised it, not as being one of the many foreground stars in our Milky Way but as a very distant object,” Christian Wolf, from the Australian National University (ANU), told BBC News.

The term quasar is used by astronomers to describe a particular type of AGN, or Active Galactic Nucleus. It’s the very energetic core of a galaxy which is being powered by an immense black hole that’s pulling matter towards itself at a prodigious rate. As this material is accelerated around the hole, it is torn apart and emits a huge amount of light, so much so that even an object as distant as J0529-4351 is still visible to us. This quasar’s emission has taken a staggering 12 billion years to reach the detectors at the VLT.

Everything about the object is astonishing.
The scientists involved say the energy emitted makes the quasar over 500 trillion times more luminous than the Sun….’ (BBC)

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Venus/Mars Conjunction

‘There is a Venus/Mars conjunction happening in the sky and you can see it basically any morning for the next 3 mornings. (It’s only a true conjunction on Friday 23 Australia time, but it’s probably easier to see the day before/after, the Thursday and Saturday. That’s Weds & Friday for most of the world.) Anyway this is mainly an excuse to tell you some great facts I’ve been hoarding about Venus. But first: conjunction details. It’s neat because Venus and Mars are both bright, so it’s an astronomical event you can see with the naked eye even with bad light pollution. It’s best seen 30-60 minutes before sunrise (between “astronomical twilight” and “nautical twilight” if your weather app gives you those times). Look for Venus in the east (it’s the brightest ‘star’ in the sky) and then see Mars next to it, smaller and redder. If you have a lot of obstacles on your horizon, you’ll want to look closer to sunrise, when Venus and Mars are higher in the sky – but not so close to sunrise that the sky’s too bright to see stars…’ ((The Whippet )

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John Oliver Offers Clarence Thomas $1M a Year to Quit

John Oliver, like a couple of hundred million Americans, wants wantonly corrupt Clarence Thomas to “get the f*ck off the Supreme Court.” Thomas has been a sleazy embarrassment to the U.S. judicial system since 1991, when Anita Hill, a lawyer and law professor, accused him of repeated sexual harassment. Since then, Thomas has reportedly accepted undisclosed luxury trips and lavish gifts from a Republican mega-donor, which he allegedly failed to report on his annual financial disclosure reports, as required by law. He also allegedly failed to report over $686,000 in income that his wife earned while working at a far-right think tank and did not recuse himself from cases related to the Affordable Care Act despite his wife’s involvement in efforts to repeal the act.

Oliver’s proposal is to appeal to Thomas’s self-interest by offering him a new $2.4 million RV (complete “with a f*cking fireplace”) and $1 million a year in exchange for his retirement from the Supreme Court….’ (Boing Boing)

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‘Impossible to see how trump survives financially’ as criminal trials begin: lawyer

‘…[A]mong the top line takeaways is, i think we have to look at the trajectory that donald trump’s civil trials have been on,” he replied. “He started by losing a $5 million judgment, then he lost an $83 million judgment. Now he’s lost more than $450 million judgment and, as you say, he is barred from doing business in New York for a number of years.”

“Here is the thing,” he elaborated. “As bad as all of that is, Lady Justice is just getting warmed up because next up for donald trump is his first criminal trial, then he has four criminal trials stacked up.”…’ (Former Federal Prosecutor Glenn Kirschner via Raw Story)

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Think trump has been finally brought to his knees by the 500+ mil verdicts against him? Think again.

‘There has been much speculation in the media and also on this site about how trump can survive financially in view of the verdicts that have been handed down so far. If he himself is unable to raise the sum he has to put up as bail, then he will not be able to appeal. But then he would have to pay in any case. So he needs to either have to borrow the money or sell something valuable.

But what could be more valuable than the prospect of a future president making any decision he wants for the person who helped him out of his financial jam? Anyone who thinks TfG hasn’t made provisions for this rainy day is underestimating the criminal instinct of the orange charlatan. It can be assumed that Friday’s verdict will have been the starting signal for the most exciting auction of the century, in which all the world’s arch-villains will take part and bid like hell. When has it ever been so cheap to buy a potential future president?…’ (Daily Koz)

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Alexei Navalny was murdered by Vladimir Putin


‘After sending his wife a Valentine’s Day message and appearing on camera on February 15th, Navalny reportedly “felt sick after a walk and lost consciousness.” Only a fool would take the Russia’s announcement at face value – it is clear that Alexei Navalny’s death was an assassination by the murderous regime of Vladimir Putin.

Like Boris Nemtsov before him, Navalny was a challenge to a political system that marginalizes its opposition and crushes all dissent. His bravery should be seen as an inspiration for Russian civil society and his memory will endure beyond the regime that killed him. As we mourn his death, we should also mourn the Russia that could-have-been. Even though Putin would never have allowed his victory, Navaly’s 2018 presidential campaign was the last opportunity to bring political change via the electoral process in Russia.

In a speech this morning at the Munich Security Conference, his widow Yulia Navalnaya called upon the international community to hold Putin accountable. With this in mind, we should turn our attention to the Americans that have enabled and encouraged Putin every step of the way. Tucker Carlson gushes over Moscow’s subway stations and potemkin McDonalds as Putin murders his chief political opponent. donald trump openly invites Russia to attack NATO members while personally torpedoing military aid to Ukraine. These useful idiots should be seen as accessories to murder….’ ( Alexander Vindman via Why It Matters )

trump is suddenly in need of a lot of cash. That’s everyone’s problem.

‘Two recent verdicts have now left donald trump on the hook for nearly half a billion dollars.

On Friday, a New York judge handed the former president a $355 million penalty, and banned him from serving in a leadership position in any business in New York for three years, for fraudulently inflating his net worth to lenders in order to receive more favorable loan agreements. And in January, a Manhattan jury ordered trump to pay the writer E. Jean Carroll $83.3 million for defaming her after she accused him of raping her. (A separate jury in May had found trump liable for sexually abusing Carroll in the 1990s.)

Together, the damages from these two lawsuits are worth more than the amount of cash trump claimed to have on hand last April, potentially putting him in a financial bind as he also faces debt repayments and mounting legal fees. Even if he appeals these decisions, as he is expected to do, he still likely will have to front the money while that process runs its course, or secure a bond, which would come with its own conditions.

For a well-connected billionaire, that might usually amount to nothing more than a temporary inconvenience; after all, trump could always liquidate some of his assets or borrow even more money to cover his short-term obligations.

But trump isn’t just one of the country’s richest men, with an estimated net worth in the low billions; he’s also running to serve a second term as president of the United States. And for any candidate for public office — let alone the presidency — being cash-strapped while owing such significant amounts of money could be a serious liability.

“It’s pretty scary from an ethics perspective,” said Virginia Canter, the chief ethics counsel at the Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington, a nonpartisan watchdog group that has chronicled trump’s abuses of power and filed lawsuits against him….’ (Vox)

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Brian Wilson Living With Neurocognitive Disorder, Family Proposes Conservatorship

Wilson in 2017

 

‘Brian Wilson’s family is seeking a conservatorship for the Beach Boys star, saying in a filing that he is “unable to properly provide for his own personal needs for physical health, food, clothing, or shelter” due to a neurocognitive disorder similar to dementia. The family said in a statement, shared on Wilson’s Instagram, that it took the decision “to ensure that there will be no extreme changes to the household” after the death last month of Wilson’s wife, Melinda, who had been caring for him. A conservatorship, the statement added, would allow Wilson to “work on current projects as well as participate in any activities he chooses.”

The court document, filed in Los Angeles and reported by The Blast and People, quoted a doctor’s description of Wilson as “easily distracted, often even when aware of surroundings.” The doctor added that Wilson “often makes spontaneous irrelevant or incoherent utterances” and struggles “to maintain decorum appropriate to the situation.” …’ (via Pitchfork )

R.I.P. Alexei Navalny, 47

 

‘Alexei Navalny, who crusaded against official corruption and staged massive anti-Kremlin protests as President Vladimir Putin’s fiercest foe, died Friday in the Arctic penal colony where he was serving a 19-year sentence, Russia’s prison agency said. He was 47…’ ( via AP News )

 

Literacy crisis in college students: Essay from a professor on students who don’t read.

‘I have been teaching in small liberal arts colleges for over 15 years now, and in the past five years, it’s as though someone flipped a switch. For most of my career, I assigned around 30 pages of reading per class meeting as a baseline expectation—sometimes scaling up for purely expository readings or pulling back for more difficult texts. (No human being can read 30 pages of Hegel in one sitting, for example.) Now students are intimidated by anything over 10 pages and seem to walk away from readings of as little as 20 pages with no real understanding. Even smart and motivated students struggle to do more with written texts than extract decontextualized take-aways. Considerable class time is taken up simply establishing what happened in a story or the basic steps of an argument—skills I used to be able to take for granted.

Since this development very directly affects my ability to do my job as I understand it, I talk about it a lot. And when I talk about it with nonacademics, certain predictable responses inevitably arise, all questioning the reality of the trend I describe. Hasn’t every generation felt that the younger cohort is going to hell in a handbasket? Haven’t professors always complained that educators at earlier levels are not adequately equipping their students? And haven’t students from time immemorial skipped the readings?

The response of my fellow academics, however, reassures me that I’m not simply indulging in intergenerational grousing. Anecdotally, I have literally never met a professor who did not share my experience. Professors are also discussing the issue in academic trade publications, from a variety of perspectives. What we almost all seem to agree on is that we are facing new obstacles in structuring and delivering our courses, requiring us to ratchet down expectations in the face of a ratcheting down of preparation. Yes, there were always students who skipped the readings, but we are in new territory when even highly motivated honors students struggle to grasp the basic argument of a 20-page article. Yes, professors never feel satisfied that high school teachers have done enough, but not every generation of professors has had to deal with the fallout of No Child Left Behind and Common Core. Finally, yes, every generation thinks the younger generation is failing to make the grade—except for the current cohort of professors, who are by and large more invested in their students’ success and mental health and more responsive to student needs than any group of educators in human history. We are not complaining about our students. We are complaining about what has been taken from them….’ ( Adam Kotsko via Slate )

Alarm over Russia’s potential for antisatellite nuclear weapon

‘A vague warning by the chair of the House Intelligence Committee about a “serious national security threat” Wednesday is related to Russia’s attempts to develop an antisatellite nuclear weapon for use in space, according to two people familiar with the matter.

While the people did not provide further details on the intel, one of them noted the U.S. has for more than a year been concerned about Russia’s potentially creating and deploying an antisatellite nuclear weapon — a weapon the U.S. and other countries would be unable to adequately defend against….’ ( via POLITICO )

Where Does Our Consciousness Live? It’s Complicated

‘Whether we create consciousness in our brains as a function of our neurons firing, or consciousness exists independently of us, there’s no universally accepted scientific explanation for where it comes from or where it lives. However, new research on the physics, anatomy, and geometry of consciousness has begun to reveal its possible form.

In other words, we may soon be able to identify a true architecture of consciousness.

The new work builds upon a theory Nobel Prize-winning physicist Roger Penrose, Ph.D., and anesthesiologist Stuart Hameroff, M.D., first posited in the 1990s: the Orchestrated Objective Reduction theory (Orch OR). Broadly, it claims that consciousness is a quantum process facilitated by microtubules in the brain’s nerve cells.

Penrose and Hameroff suggested that consciousness is a quantum wave that passes through these microtubules. And that, like every quantum wave, it has properties like superposition (the ability to be in many places at the same time) and entanglement (the potential for two particles that are very far away to be connected).

Plenty of experts have questioned the validity of the Orch OR theory. This is the story of the scientists working to revive it….’ ( via Popular Mechanics )

All 4 of trump’s criminal cases reach inflection points this week

‘Judges will face choices that affect when, and whether, trump stands trial.

 

In trump’s New York case, a judge is slated to finalize the timetable for his trial on charges that he falsified business records to cover up an affair with a porn star in the closing weeks of the 2016 election.

 

In his Washington, D.C., case, the Supreme Court may signal whether it will quickly resolve trump’s claim that he is “immune” from federal charges stemming from his effort to subvert the 2020 election.

 

In his Georgia case, where trump is also facing state charges related to the 2020 election, a judge has scheduled a Thursday hearing to examine an effort by trump and several co-defendants to disqualify the prosecutors.

 

And in his Florida case, a judge is weighing trump’s latest motion to postpone key deadlines — a likely precursor to delaying the May 20 trial on charges of hoarding classified records at his mar-a-lago home.

 

Here’s a look at each of the cases and what to expect this week…’ ( via POLITICO )

This is the CIA’s official guide to sabotaging business meetings

‘In 1944, the US Office of Strategic Services—now the CIA—published the “Simple Sabotage Field Manual,” a top secret guide teaching the average citizen-saboteur how to fuck shit up without specialized tools or equipment or association with an “organized group.” Declassified in 2008, the guide encourages clogging up toilets, letting “cutting tools grow dull,” and dumping rice into gasoline engines. My favorite though are the tips for “General Interference with Organizations and Production:” Here are some about sabotaging meetings:

  • Insist on doing everything through “channels.” Never permit short-cuts to be taken in order to expedite decisions.

  • Make “speeches.” Talk as frequently as possible and at great length. Illustrate your “points” by long anecdotes and accounts of personal experiences.

  • When possible, refer all matters to committees, for “further study and consideration.” Attempt to make the committee as large as possible — never less than five.

  • Bring up irrelevant issues as frequently as possible.

  • Haggle over precise wordings of communications, minutes, resolutions.

  • Refer back to matters decided upon at the last meeting and attempt to re-open the question of the advisability of that decision.

  • Advocate “caution.” Be “reasonable” and urge your fellow-conferees to be “reasonable”and avoid haste which might result in embarrassments or difficulties later on….’ (

    Boing Boing

    )

Wait, what? Have the people I go to meetings with at work all been trained by the CIA??

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Rubble from Bone: Israel’s War

‘The proportion of buildings destroyed in Gaza now approaches that of Guernica, Hamburg or Hiroshima, cities synonymous with the worst wartime devastation. Israel’s declared objective to ‘destroy Hamas’ has no relation to its tactic towards the general population, which has been to kill them or drive them towards Egypt. It appears no longer to want to run Gaza as a cordoned-off prison camp. But its plans are unclear. Negotiations with Hamas have been taking place through Egypt and Qatar. Some reports suggest that Israel offered a two-month ‘pause’ in exchange for the release of all the remaining hostages; Hamas countered that further releases of hostages would come only when Israel agrees to stop the attack and withdraw. Yoav Gallant has said that Gaza should return to ‘Palestinian administration’ guaranteed by the US. But on 30 December Netanyahu suggested that Israeli forces should also take control of the Philadelphi corridor, the 14-kilometre border between Gaza and Egypt. Israel continues to reject any political framework in favour of looking for ‘security’ in a pile of bones. Both Netanyahu and his chief of staff, Herzi Halevi, say the war will continue for many months. Who in Gaza has that sort of time?…’

(Tom Stevenson via London Review of Books)

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SCOTUS: trump’s last chance to avoid election subversion prosecution?

‘Whether donald trump faces trial this year for seeking to subvert the 2020 election appears increasingly certain to rest with the nine justices of the Supreme Court — three of whom he nominated himself.

 

trump is expected to ask the high court to stave off the trial following Tuesday’s ruling from a federal appeals court that emphatically rejected his bid for “presidential immunity” from the criminal charges.

 

The former president now faces a key deadline of next Monday to ask the Supreme Court to step in — and once he does, the justices will face a set of options with obvious ramifications for the presidential campaign.

 

They could hear trump’s appeal on an accelerated schedule. They could take their time — and in doing so, essentially guarantee that the federal election-subversion trial could not occur before November. Or they could simply decline to hear trump’s appeal at all — a move that would allow the trial proceedings, which have been stalled for nearly two months, to resume quickly.

 

And as if the choice weren’t fraught enough, the high court is grappling simultaneously with a separate trump question of historic proportions: whether the 14th Amendment’s insurrection clause disqualifies him from running for president again. The court will hear arguments in that case on Thursday after putting it on an unusually fast track…’ ( via POLITICO )

Explore the Surface of Mars in Spectacular 4K Resolution

‘…high definition footage captured by NASA’s three Mars rovers – Spirit, Opportunity and Curiosity. The footage (also contributed by JPL-Cal tech, MSSS, Cornell University and ASU) was stitched together by Elder Fox Documentaries, creating what they call the most life like experience of being on Mars….’ (Open Culture)

As someone who has done his share of traveling around western US landscapes but who is not geologically sophisticated, what struck me about this was not how otherworldly it felt to travel around Mars but, to the contrary, how familiar it seemed. In a way there is something comforting about that. As a science fiction reader, I used to feel that many attempts to describe extraterrestrial landscapes felt disappointingly lame and prosaic (off the top of my head, think of Arthur C. Clarke’s “A Walk in the Dark”), but that turns out to be just right. Actually, the skies of these scenes felt much more alien than the terrain.

Time to name cancers by genetics, not organ of origin, expert says

‘Naming cancers solely by the organs they originate in is getting a bit old, according to Fabrice André, a medical oncologist at Gustave Roussy in France and the president-elect of the European Society of Medical Oncology. Instead, André hopes to push for a new naming system that emphasizes the molecular characteristics of a cancer, regardless of its tissue of origin.

That’s because, in the last several decades, science has uncovered the ways genetic alterations can drive the growth and development of cancers — and how those alterations can be targeted with medicines to melt tumors away. In many cases, these mutations aren’t limited to cancers of a single organ, nor do all cancers from an organ share the same mutations. Two patients may both have breast cancer, but if one is a triple-negative cancer and another is packed with HER2 proteins, the treatment will look very different, André said. That can cause confusion for patients….’ (StatNews)

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Why Tim Cook Is Going All In on the Apple Vision Pro

Columnist Nick Bolton wants to have a unique take on Apple Vision Pro, so he essentially likens it to crack cocaine:

‘I know deep down that the Apple Vision Pro is too immersive, and yet all I want to do is see the world through it. “I’m sure the technology is terrific. I still think and hope it fails,” one Silicon Valley investor said to me. “Apple feels more and more like a tech fentanyl dealer that poses as a rehab provider.” Harsh words, but he feels what we all feel, a slave to our smartphone, and he’s seen this play before and he knows what the first act is like, and the second act, and he knows how it ends….’ ( via Vanity Fair )

Happy Imbolc

UnknownToday is Groundhog Day . What hangs in the balance is whether spring is coming early. In the Pagan calendar, it is Imbolc (or Imbolg), which has marked the beginning of spring since ancient times, coming at the midpoint between the astronomical winter solstice (“Yule”) and the spring equinox (“Ostara”) in the northern hemisphere. It is one of the four Gaelic seasonal festivals that fall at the ‘quarter cross points’ between the equinoxes and the solstices, along with Beltane, Lugnasadh, and Samhain.

Imbolc was a time to celebrate Brigid (Brigit, Brighid, Bride, Bridget, Bridgit, Brighde, Bríd), the Celtic Goddess of inspiration, healing, and smithcraft with associations to fire, the hearth and poetry. When Ireland was Christianized in the 5th century, the festival of Brigid became Saint Brigid’s Day, although the chronology of the transmigration from the Celtic goddess to the Christian saint is not universally accepted. Imbolc derives from the Old Irish imbolg meaning in the belly, a time when sheep began to lactate and their udders filled and the grass began to grow.It thus coincided with the beginning of the lambing season, the spring sowing, and some of the earliest blooming plants. The gentle curve of a ‘just-showing’ pregnancy embodies the promise of renewal, expectancy and hope.

Evidence indicates that Imbolc has been an important date in the Irish, Scottish and Manx calendar since ancient times. The holiday was a festival of hearth and home with celebrations often embodying hearth fires, feasting, divination for omens of good fortune, and candles or bonfires representing the return of warmth and light. The point of many rituals seemed to be to invite Brigid, and the good fortune she would bring, into the home. Activities included:

— Brigid crosses, consisting of reeds or willows woven in a four-armed equilateral cross, often hung over doors, windows, or stables for protection

— making Bridey (Brideog, Breedhoge, or ‘Biddy’) dolls, representing Brigid, which were paraded from house to house. People would make a bed for her and leave her food and drink.Images

— visiting of holy wells, which are circled ‘sunwise’ and offerings left. Water from the well was used to bless home, family members, livestock and fields.

— a “spring cleaning” was customary

— Imbolc was traditionally a time of weather divination. Old traditions of watching to see if various animals returned from their winter dens seem to be forerunners of Groundhog Day.

Although many of the customary observances of Imbolc died out during the 20th century, it is still observed and in some places has been revived as a cultural event.Brigid’s Day parades have been revived in the town of Killorglin, County Kerry, which holds a yearly “Biddy’s Day Festival”. Men and women wearing elaborate straw hats and masks visit public houses carrying a Brídeóg to bring good luck for the coming year. They play folk music, dance and sing. The highlight of this festival is a torchlight parade through the town followed by a song and dance contest. Most recently, neopagans and Wiccans have observed Imbolc as a religious holiday.

’…It is the festival of the Maiden, for from this day to March 21st, it is her season to prepare for growth and renewal. Brighid’s snake emerges from the womb of the Earth Mother to test the weather, (the origin of Ground Hog Day), and in many places the first Crocus flowers began to spring forth from the frozen earth. The Maiden is honored, as the Bride, on this Sabbat. Straw Brideo’gas (corn dollies) are created from oat or wheat straw and placed in baskets with white flower bedding. Young girls then carry the Brideo’gas door to door, and gifts are bestowed upon the image from each household. Afterwards at the traditional feast, the older women make special acorn wands for the dollies to hold, and in the morning the ashes in the hearth are examined to see if the magic wands left marks as a good omen. Brighid’s Crosses are fashioned from wheat stalks and exchanged as symbols of protection and prosperity in the coming year. Home hearth fires are put out and re-lit, and a besom is place by the front door to symbolize sweeping out the old and welcoming the new. Candles are lit and placed in each room of the house to honor the re-birth of the Sun. Inbolc7Another traditional symbol of Imbolc is the plough. In some areas, this is the first day of ploughing in preparation of the first planting of crops. A decorated plough is dragged from door to door, with costumed children following asking for food, drinks, or money. Should they be refused, the household is paid back by having its front garden ploughed up. In other areas, the plough is decorated and then Whiskey, the “water of life” is poured over it. Pieces of cheese and bread are left by the plough and in the newly turned furrows as offerings to the nature spirits. It is considered taboo to cut or pick plants during this time. Various other names for this Greater Sabbat are Imbolgc Brigantia (Caledonni), Imbolic (Celtic), Disting (Teutonic, Feb 14th), Lupercus (Strega), St. Bridget’s Day (Christian), Candlemas, Candlelaria (Mexican), the Snowdrop Festival. The Festival of Lights, or the Feast of the Virgin. All Virgin and Maiden Goddesses are honored at this time…’

(Via Celtic Connection)

Imbolc also corresponds with Candlemas, the Christian observance of the baby Jesus’ presentation at the Temple in Jerusalem to officially induct him into Judaism when he was forty days old. It was originally described in the Gospel of Luke as a purification ritual. On Candlemas, a priest traditionally blesses candles which are distributed to the faithful for use throughout the year. In some places, they are placed in windows during storms to ward off damage.

Interestingly, in Scotland, along with Michaelmas, Lammas and Whitsun, Candlemas is one of the four  term and quarter days, the four divisions of the legal year, historically used as the days when contracts and leases would begin and end, servants would be hired or dismissed, and rent, interest on loans, and ministers’ stipends would become due. Although they were later fixed by law as falling on the 28th day every three months, they originally occurred on holy days, corresponding roughly to old quarter days used in both Scotland and Ireland.

Some foreign observances:

In France and Belgium, Candlemas (FrenchLa Chandeleur) is celebrated with crêpes. In Italy, traditionally, it (Italian: La Candelora) is considered the last cold day of winter. Tenerife (Spain), Is the day of the Virgin of Candelaria (Saint Patron of the Canary Islands). 2 February. In Southern and Central Mexico, and Guatemala City, Candlemas (Spanish: Día de La Candelaria) is celebrated with tamales. Tradition indicates that on 5 January, the night before Three Kings Day (the Epiphany), whoever gets one or more of the few plastic or metal dolls (originally coins) buried within the Rosca de Reyes must pay for the tamales and throw a party on Candlemas. In certain regions of Mexico, this is the day in which the baby Jesus of each household is taken up from the nativity scene and dressed up in various colorful, whimsical outfits. In Luxembourg, Liichtmëss sees children carrying lighted sticks visiting neighbors and singing a traditional song in exchange for sweets. Sailors are often reluctant to set sail on Candlemas Day, believing that any voyage begun then will end in disaster—given the frequency of severe storms in February, this is not entirely without sense.

(Via Wikipedia)

Looming fire sale may end trump’s billionaire fantasy

‘The penalties are adding up for serial loser donald j. trump and may force a fire sale of his cherished real estate empire and expose the overleveraged clown as broke.

Should the judgment in trump’s NY fraud case reflect the Attorney General’s ask of nearly $400 million, donald trump will almost surely be forced to start selling off parts of his real estate “empire.” The loans and mountains of fake paper moving between his companies, already coming to light in his court-ordered financial monitor’s reports, may be fully exposed….’ (Boing Boing)

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Scientists found a major clue why 4 of 5 autoimmune patients are women

‘In a paper published Thursday in the journal Cell, researchers present new evidence that a molecule called Xist — pronounced like the word “exist” and found only in women — is a major culprit in these diseases.

Better understanding of this molecule could lead to new tests that catch autoimmune diseases sooner and, in the longer term, to new and more effective treatments, researchers said.

Women typically have two X chromosomes, while men usually have an X and a Y. Chromosomes are tight bundles of genetic material that carry instructions for making proteins. Xist plays a crucial role by inactivating one of the X chromosomes in women, averting what would otherwise be a disastrous overproduction of proteins.

However, the research team found that, in the process, Xist also generates strange molecular complexes linked to many autoimmune diseases.

Although scientists conducted much of their work in mice, they made an intriguing discovery involving human patients: The Xist complexes ― long strands of RNA entangled with DNA and proteins ― trigger a chemical response in people that is a hallmark of autoimmune diseases…’ ( via Washington Post )

The Seven Laws of Pessimism

‘Have we just lived through one of the best years in human history? As we look at 2023 through the rearview mirror, I think that’s a defensible claim. In fact, the same thing could have been said at the end of pretty much every year since the beginning of the millennium (with the exception of the disastrous pandemic years of 2020 and 2021). Never before have so many people lived in affluence, safety, and good health.

And yet, it doesn’t feel that way. There’s so much horror and misery in the world—look at the situations in Ukraine, Gaza, Sudan, and Yemen alone—that it is hard to believe that, on average, this past year was probably the best year ever. So, if life is better than ever before, why does the world seem so depressing?…

…there are more fundamental reasons why almost all news outlets display a negativity bias. To understand why news is almost invariably depressing—and why Rolf Dobelli is right that you probably shouldn’t read it—I’ve drawn up a list of Seven Laws of Pessimism. Some of the underlying principles will be familiar to anyone who has read the work of progress thinkers like Steven Pinker, Hans Rosling, Hannah Ritchie, and Johan Norberg, while others are more obscure. Hopefully, this list will work as an antidote whenever excessive news consumption makes you feel despondent:

1. The Law of the Invisibility of Good News: Progress happens gradually and imperceptibly, while regress happens all at once and immediately grabs our attention…

2. The Law of The Velocity of Bad News: Nothing travels faster than the speed of light, except bad news…

3. The Law of Rubbernecking: The more gruesome the news, the more we lap it up…

4. The Law of Conservation of Outrage: No matter how much progress the world is achieving, the total amount of outrage remains constant…

5. The Law of Awful Attraction: If you don’t find bad news, bad news will find you…

6. The Law of Self-Effacing Solutions: Once a solution has been achieved, people forget about the original problem (and only see further problems)…

7. The Law of Disinfecting Sunlight: The freer a society, the more ugly things will surface…’ (Maarten Boudry via quillette.com)

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‘Totally unhinged’: Tension grows between Haley and trump

‘Tension has been growing between the two candidates since the New Hampshire primary, in which trump won 54.3 percent of the vote. But Haley kept it to about an 11-point gap, closer than most polling predicted.

But in the speeches that followed, Haley treated the night like a victory, calling the primary “far from over,” while trump attacked his opponent by mocking her clothing, and saying she had “a very bad night.” trump has been ramping up his personal attacks on Haley, bringing back his “birdbrain” nickname from earlier in the primary and even using an incorrect version of Haley’s first name, “Nimrada.” (Her first name is Nimarata.)

In the days that followed the primary, the back-and-forth between the two has been an increasingly sharp series of barbs — with Haley building on a new strategy of going directly after a candidate she has avoided criticizing too harshly until now….’ (POLITICO)

Related: George Conway tells Nikki Haley how to beat “deteriorating” trump at his own game

‘After George Conway pointed out the obvious on MSNBC — that donald trump “is deteriorating under pressure” — he explained how Nikki Haley could beat him at his own sadistic game.

“Point out the crazy,” the never-trump Republican told host Willie Geist. 

“People like donald trump know that they are not what they pretend to be,” Conway said, after calling trump out for his pathological narcissism. “He talks about being a stable genius because he knows he is neither stable nor a genius, and he’s been doing that for years.”

Conway, one of the founding members of the Lincoln Project, then pinpointed the reasons for trump’s glaring deterioration, being “the pressure of the legal cases” and “his advanced age.”

So if Haley wants to take advantage of trump’s many fears and weaknesses, Conway suggests she continually push his frazzled buttons. “You need to needle him,” he said. “The campaign has to be as much a psychological operation against donald trump’s empty brain as it must be an attempt to persuade voters, because the two go hand in hand.”…’ (Boing Boing)

Related: ‘Not a good night for donald trump’: Why never-trumpers think he’s really losing

‘Polls and exit surveys from Iowa and New Hampshire show swaths of the Republican electorate cast ballots specifically against trump — and would refuse to vote for him in November. Independents who helped hand trump a general election loss in 2020 helped fuel record turnout in New Hampshire’s GOP primary. And trump didn’t make major strides in either state in the highly educated areas where he was weakest in 2016….’ (POLITICO)

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Kenneth Eugene Smith’s nitrogen gas execution in Alabama renews death penalty fight

‘A controversial Alabama execution took place on Thursday, reigniting scrutiny of the death penalty and highlighting the enduring nature of the practice despite attempts to end it.

Physicians and human rights experts have condemned the execution — which relied on an untested method known as nitrogen hypoxia — due to concerns that it would be painful and inhumane. Alabama ultimately used this method to execute a man named Kenneth Eugene Smith, after the state botched his first scheduled execution in 2022 when it couldn’t find an accessible vein for a lethal injection. Smith was sentenced to the death penalty following a capital murder conviction in 1988….’ (Vox)

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Museum of Natural History Closes Native Displays Amid New Federal Rules

‘The American Museum of Natural History will close two major halls exhibiting Native American objects, its leaders said on Friday, in a dramatic response to new federal regulations that require museums to obtain consent from tribes before displaying or performing research on cultural items…

The museum is closing galleries dedicated to the Eastern Woodlands and the Great Plains this weekend, and covering a number of other display cases featuring Native American cultural items as it goes through its enormous collection to make sure it is in compliance with the new federal rules, which took effect this month….’ (New York Times)

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How Plants Warn Each Other of Imminent Danger

‘Researchers at Saitama University in Japan discovered that plants employ a systemic emergency broadcast system in response to unsafe situations. Microbiologists Yuri Aratani and Takuya Uemura used fluorescence imaging to show that injured plants used calcium signaling to warn healthy plants of imminent danger….’ (Laughing Squid)

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trump confuses Vietnam and Gulf wars

‘Of his recent gaffes, his comments about the Vietnam War are particularly alarming.

The video of his confused speech begins mid-sentence: “…fields and jungles of Vietnam. They delivered a swift and swippy… and you know that sweeping. It was swift and it was sweeping like nobody’s ever seen anything happen. A victory in Operation Desert Storm. A lot of you were involved in that. A lot of you were involved. That was a quick one.”…’ (Boing Boing)

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Incoherent trump continues to slur and make no sense at rally

‘donald trump continues to slide after mixing up Nikki Haley with Nancy Pelosi, confusing Vietnam with Desert Storm, and forgetting that Obama is no longer the president. In fact, yesterday in New Hampshire he resorted to garbled speech, incoherent sentences, and nonsensical sounds.

Which is incapable of salvin’ even the swollest, smallest problem,” he slurred at a rally hours before the the Granite State’s polls would open. “We are an institute in a powerful death penalty. We will put this on.” (See video below, posted by Biden-Harris HQ.)

trump also described the Israeli Iron Dome air defense system with sound effects. “And they calmly walk to us see, and ding, ding, ding, ding, ding, ding,” the GOP frontrunner said. “They’ve only got 17 seconds to figure this whole thing out. Bomp. Okay. Missile launch, psheem, pfoom.” (See second video below, posted by Acyn.)…’ (Boing Boing)

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trump is pre-emptively making excuses for losing New Hampshire

‘It sure looks like donald trump has decided Nikki Haley will beat him in New Hampshire. To preserve his fragile ego and the story his cult-like adherents cling to — that trump is some sort of a winner — the loser is lying about voting rules. If voters chose to register as a Republican, they can participate in the NH Republican primary. It is a normal cause of action that passionate voters may change party to vote against someone in the primary. This is very common in my home state of California. trump is claiming this is Democrats stealing the election for Haley… (Boing Boing)

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‘Eternal You’: How We Die Will Soon Change Forever

‘Hans Block and Moritz Riesewieck’s eye-opening and disturbing new documentary, Eternal You, has a word of caution for everyone who plans on staying dead after they die: It may soon no longer be up to you.

Premiering at the Sundance Film Festival in Park City, Utah, on Saturday night as part of the World Cinema documentary competition, Eternal You does a deep dive into the digital afterlife industry and AI companies that peddle virtual immortality….’ (MovieMaker)

It’s official: 2024 belongs to the cicadas

‘This spring, two different broods of cicadas — one that lives on a 13-year cycle and the other that lives on a 17-year cycle — will emerge at the same time from underground in a rare, synchronized event that last occurred in 1803.

Billions of the winged insects will make an appearance across the Midwest and the Southeast, beginning in some places in late April, for a raucous mating ritual that tends to inspire fascination and annoyance in equal measure.

This year’s dual emergence is a once-in-a-lifetime event. While any given 13-year brood and 17-year brood can occasionally emerge at the same time, each specific pair will see their cycles aligned only once every 221 years. What’s more, this year’s cicada groups, known as Brood XIII and Brood XIX, happened to make their homes adjacent to one another, with a narrow overlap in central Illinois….’ (NBC News)

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5 ways the Supreme Court may try to defuse its newest trump bomb

‘As the justices confront a historic case with enormous political stakes, they might seek a narrow way out….’ (POLITICO)

 

Here are the suggestions, whose merits are discussed in the article:

POTUS isn’t an ‘officer’: The 14th Amendment’s “insurrection clause” lists various positions that cannot be held by anyone who “engaged in insurrection” after taking an oath to “support the Constitution.” Those positions include senators, representatives, and presidential and vice-presidential electors. Conspicuously, the clause does not explicitly list the presidency itself as a covered position — but it does contain a catch-all provision barring insurrectionists from holding “any office, civil or military, under the United States.” …

Maybe there ought to be a law, but there isn’t: Another major ambiguity in the insurrection clause is that the text is silent about who decides whether a person is an insurrectionist. (It does say Congress can restore an individual’s eligibility by a two-thirds vote of both chambers, but not who decides someone is ineligible in the first place.) In legal terms, the question is whether the disqualification provision is “self-executing” or whether Congress has to pass a law for it to apply…

This isn’t fair to trump: While there are several variations of this argument, the basic thrust is that the trial that led the Colorado Supreme Court to rule that trump should be kicked off the ballot there didn’t do enough to safeguard trump’s rights and allow him to contest the allegations that he led an insurrection. An aggressive version of this claim asserts that the only way to knock trump out of the election would be for him to be convicted of the specific federal crime of leading a “rebellion or insurrection.” While trump is facing four federal felony counts related to his efforts to overturn the 2020 election results, none is that particular charge, even though the House Jan. 6 committee urged the Justice Department to charge him with it. (And, of course, he hasn’t been convicted.) A more modest iteration of the argument was put forward by one of the Colorado Supreme Court’s dissenting justices, who derided as “substandard” the procedures used for trump’s trial in Colorado — which was a civil suit proceeding under the state’s election law, not a criminal trial…

It’s too soon to declare trump ineligible: The justices might conclude that it’s simply too early to weigh in on trump’s eligibility. Perhaps the 14th Amendment’s bar kicks in only during the general election that picks the office-holder, not during primaries that determine party nominations. Or perhaps the amendment merely bars insurrectionists from taking office and cannot actually be used to prevent them from running for office…

The case is too hot to handle: When thorny, politically charged issues arise in court, judges sometimes simply declare the cases too political for the legal system to resolve — effectively sending them back to other branches of government. The justices could invoke this principle, known as the “political question doctrine,” to bow out of the issue of trump’s disqualification, but doing so would likely leave the Colorado Supreme Court decision in place…

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AirNow

‘EnviroFlash sends air quality messages right to your inbox. Know your air quality so you and your family can know when it’s a good time to be active outside.
To start getting air quality messages today, or to update your EnviroFlash account, enter your email here:

EnviroFlash is a partnership between the US EPA and your state or local air quality agency….’

(EnviroFlash Mobile Sign-Up)

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Articulated Robotic Arm Unplugs Itself

‘Matt Barta captured the very unusual event of an articulated robotic arm sliding back on the table to reach its own power source and unplug itself during an event of some sort. Barta found the incident rather amusing….’ (Reddit)

As a child I had a toy which was a box with lid and power switch. When you turned on the power, a hand came out of the box and turned it off. Ooh, just found it: Wikipedia calls these “useless machines”. 

Monster Inside the Box

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