Feeling the Future: Experimental Evidence for Anomalous Retroactive Influences on Cognition and Affect

This is a prepublication .pdf of a paper by Cornell psychologist Daryl Bem detailing experimental evidence for precognition, accepted for publication by a respected peer-reviewed psychological journal. (link).

  3 comments for “Feeling the Future: Experimental Evidence for Anomalous Retroactive Influences on Cognition and Affect

  1. acm
    11 Jan 11 at 5.23 pm

    On the one hand, this work is sort of mind-blowing — it clearly uses established methods to prove a disconcerting result. To me, it raises some questions about whether even a reproducible effect that is only a percent or two above chance has the amount of meaning that we ascribe to it — there’s all kinds of research being done all the time, and p values that make “chance results” very unlikely still mean that 5 (or 1) percent of all that work could be crap.

    I recommend this fascinating (and also disconcerting) article that appeared in a recent New Yorker:
    It discusses the fact that many results turn out not to hold up after the initial flurry of confirmations (i.e., a decade later, the drugs have little effect, etc.) and visits various possible explanations from confirmation bias to a larger “reversion to the mean” sort of statistical result. Makes one have more skepticism for any science that’s based on statistical claims. whew!!


  2. ackbark
    11 Jan 11 at 8.06 pm

    There was something about how subjects could correctly guess whether a photo was behind a screen on the right or the left, but it only held true for erotic photos.


  3. ackbark
    11 Jan 11 at 8.15 pm

    here’s an article suggesting something the effect that the more you learn about an experiment the less pre-determined its’ outcome becomes, suggesting this is the basis of beginner’s luck,


    has anyone ever studied what the experiments that demonstrate the decline effect have in common?


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