Feeling the Future: Experimental Evidence for Anomalous Retroactive Influences on Cognition and Affect

This is a prepublication .pdf of a paper by Cornell psychologist Daryl Bem detailing experimental evidence for precognition, accepted for publication by a respected peer-reviewed psychological journal. (link).

3 thoughts on “Feeling the Future: Experimental Evidence for Anomalous Retroactive Influences on Cognition and Affect

  1. On the one hand, this work is sort of mind-blowing — it clearly uses established methods to prove a disconcerting result. To me, it raises some questions about whether even a reproducible effect that is only a percent or two above chance has the amount of meaning that we ascribe to it — there’s all kinds of research being done all the time, and p values that make “chance results” very unlikely still mean that 5 (or 1) percent of all that work could be crap.

    I recommend this fascinating (and also disconcerting) article that appeared in a recent New Yorker:
    http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/12/13/101213fa_fact_lehrer
    It discusses the fact that many results turn out not to hold up after the initial flurry of confirmations (i.e., a decade later, the drugs have little effect, etc.) and visits various possible explanations from confirmation bias to a larger “reversion to the mean” sort of statistical result. Makes one have more skepticism for any science that’s based on statistical claims. whew!!

    Like

  2. There was something about how subjects could correctly guess whether a photo was behind a screen on the right or the left, but it only held true for erotic photos.

    Like

Comments are closed.