Some of the most secret and scariest work under way in the Pentagon these days is the planning for a possible military strike against nuclear sites in North Korea….Ironically, the gravity of the situation isn’t yet fully understood in either South Korea or Japan, partly because they do not think this administration would be crazy enough to consider a military strike against North Korea. They’re wrong. — Nicholas Kristof, NY Times
The “raptors clustered around …Cheney and …Rumsfeld and in the National Security Council” have apparently recently found Bush’s ear, just as their relentless and criminal hawking for war on Iraq eventually wore down saner positions within the administration. Bush, it seems, remains a malleable puppet in the hands of his father’s cronies. Now the administration has dropped the bilateral reference and is willing to talk to North Korea only in a multilateral framework that doesn’t exist. The old approach had a snowball’s chance in purgatory; now it’s less than that. One observer noted, “We haven’t exhausted diplomacy. We haven’t begun diplomacy…” Kristof thinks there’s nothing wrong with planning, but in an administration that’s diplomatically handicapped, going to war if diplomacy fails means going to war.
So, Kristof concludes, we’re likely headed for a surgical strike against North Korean nuclear capabilities — even without the consent of the South Koreans — banking on Kim Jong Il’s fear of US retaliation if he responds. If we’re on the wrong side of that gamble, we may be in for another Korean war. The North has 13,000 artillery pieces and could fire some 400,000 shells in the first hour of an attack, many with sarin and anthrax, on the 21 million people in the “kill box” — as some in the U.S. military describe the Seoul metropolitan area. The Pentagon has calculated that another Korean war could kill a million people. What’s the answer? Three things this dysadministration is incapable of — thinking before it acts, skillful negotiation, and thinking before it acts..