‘History suggests that regimes collapse not from single failures but from a fatal confluence of stressors. One of us, Jack, has written at length about the five specific conditions necessary for a revolution to succeed: a fiscal crisis, divided elites, a diverse oppositional coalition, a convincing narrative of resistance, and a favorable international environment. This winter, for the first time since 1979, Iran checks nearly all five boxes.…’ (Karim Sadjadpour and Jack A. Goldstone viaThe Atlantic)

Is the Trump regime coming close to checking these boxes too? (One can hope.)