Anne Applebaum: “Tuesday is Election Day, and, as always, Election Day is fraught with peril. Beware the seductiveness of opinion polls, which can badly mislead. Beware the even greater attraction of exit polls, which have so often been wrong in the past. Beware the too-early commentary, the too-swift rush to judgment. And above all, beware that the hopeful, reassuring clichés that will be passed around in the next couple of days will give false succor to winners and losers alike.” (Slate Magazine)
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“I am the world crier, & this is my dangerous career… I am the one to call your bluff, & this is my climate.” —Kenneth Patchen (1911-1972)
The truth is that exit polls have traditionally been the only polls you could always count on to be accurate. This idea that they are deceptive is itself a deception that arose during the last 2 Presidential elections when widespread manipulation of the count by way of GOP-manufactured voting machines caused the “official” tally to be way off from the exit polls. Since we couldn’t admit that the vote was wrong, the only conclusion that could be drawn in public was that exit polls aren’t really worth much.
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